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LII
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LII stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Lennox manufactures and distributes heating, ventilating, air conditioning, and refrigeration products for the North American replacement (75% of sales) and new construction (25% of sales) markets... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Lennox International (LII) Stock Analysis: Tariff and Pricing Pressures Squeeze Margins as Commercial Demand Powers Growth

Key Takeaways

  • Lennox International (LII) shares traded near $340 in late October 2026, roughly 7.8% below their late-September level near $368, following third-quarter results.
  • Third-quarter revenue rose 10% to about $1.57 billion, but net income declined to $221.2 million from $259.9 million a year earlier.
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted earnings guidance was cut to $21.00–$21.50 per share, down from a prior $23.00–$24.00 range.
  • Building Climate Solutions revenue climbed 24%, while Home Comfort Solutions grew a more modest 3%.
  • Tariffs, inflation, and weaker-than-expected price realization continue to pressure operating margins.
  • For more detail on Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast, explore the dedicated pages for this ticker.
  • Explore Trending AI Robots to see how automated trading systems are currently positioning around stocks like LII.

Current Market Snapshot

Lennox International (LII) has traded in a relatively contained range over the past 30 days, moving from a closing level near $368 in late September to roughly $340 in late October 2026, a decline of about 7.8%. The slide accelerated after the company reported third-quarter results and lowered its full-year earnings outlook, with shares pulling back sharply in the session following the announcement. The move reflects investor concern over margin compression rather than any collapse in demand: revenue still grew at a double-digit pace, but profitability fell short of Wall Street expectations.

Lennox International (LII) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Lennox International is a global manufacturer of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) equipment, serving both residential and commercial markets. The company operates through two primary segments. Home Comfort Solutions sells furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, packaged systems, and indoor air-quality products under brands including Lennox, Ducane, and AirEase. Building Climate Solutions provides commercial unitary equipment, applied systems, and controls for larger facilities and data-center cooling applications.

Lennox competes with other major HVAC and building-climate equipment providers across North America, and investors follow the stock closely because of its exposure to residential replacement cycles, energy-efficiency regulations, and commercial construction activity. The company's direct-to-contractor distribution model, brand strength, and growing commercial and data-center cooling offerings are key competitive advantages, while its exposure to tariffs and raw-material costs remains a recurring point of sensitivity.

Recent Developments Driving LII

The most significant development over the past 30 days was Lennox's third-quarter 2026 earnings report. Net sales reached $1.57 billion, up 10% year over year, driven by a 24% increase in Building Climate Solutions revenue to $635.3 million, which offset more modest 3% growth in Home Comfort Solutions to $937.2 million. However, net income fell to $221.2 million from $259.9 million, and diluted earnings per share declined to $6.41 from $7.38.

Management cited tariffs and related inflation, softer residential demand, and limited price realization as the primary drags on margins. The company lowered full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $21.00 to $21.50, down from $23.00 to $24.00, and trimmed expected revenue growth to approximately 6%. In response, the company said it is accelerating cost-productivity initiatives and restructuring actions, while also emphasizing opportunistic share repurchases after buying back about $151 million of stock during the quarter.

Trending AI Robots

Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page highlights a curated selection of automated trading systems that are currently among the most relevant and best-performing. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI trading bots that monitor thousands of tickers, but only a focused group appears in this section based on their recent performance and alignment with current market conditions. These bots vary widely in strategy, holding timeframe, and performance metrics, giving traders different ways to approach the same market environment. Reviewing the section can help investors understand how data-driven systems are positioning in real time.

2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, investors should monitor whether Lennox can close the gap between rising input costs and realized pricing. The company's ability to pass through tariff-related inflation while defending margins in a competitive residential market will be a central theme. Building Climate Solutions remains a growth bright spot, supported by emergency replacement demand, national-account relationships, and new heat-pump offerings, and its continued expansion could offset residential softness.

Other factors to watch include the pace of residential HVAC replacement demand, further guidance updates, integration of recently completed acquisitions, capital-deployment decisions, and broader macroeconomic conditions such as interest rates and housing activity. Management has signaled that residential end-markets are stabilizing, but a broad demand recovery may not materialize until later. Investors should evaluate these drivers against the company's own disclosures rather than relying on any single metric.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for LII with price predictions
Oct 30, 2026

LII in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 28, 2026

LII may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 24 of 35 cases where LII's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +4.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LII advanced for three days, in 217 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 53 cases where LII's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LII as a result. In 59 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LII turned negative on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.

LII moved below its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LII declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Aroon Indicator for LII entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. LII’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.167) is normal, around the industry mean (2.982). P/E Ratio (15.218) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.210). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.934) is also within normal values, averaging (1.215). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.387) is also within normal values, averaging (1.867).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LII’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

LII paid dividends on July 15, 2026

Lennox International LII Stock Dividends
А dividend of $1.36 per share was paid with a record date of July 15, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of June 30, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE:JCI), Owens Corning (NYSE:OC), Alpha Pro Tech Ltd (ASE:APT).

Industry description

The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Building Products Industry is 9.53B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.88K to 90.27B. JCI holds the highest valuation in this group at 90.27B. The lowest valued company is STAI at 1.88K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Building Products Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. JLHL experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while HCAI experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Building Products Industry was 49%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 30% and the average quarterly volume growth was 35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of broad range of products for the heating, ventilation, air conditioning and refrigeration markets

Industry BuildingProducts

Industry
Building Products
Address
2140 Lake Park Boulevard
Phone
+1 972 497-5000
Employees
12900
Web
https://www.lennox.com
Lennox International (LII) Stock Analysis: Tariff and Pricing Pressures Squeeze Margins as Commercial Demand Powers Growth